ICC讯(Xun) 对(Dui)于(Yu)芯(Xin)片(Pian)设(She)计(Ji)商(Shang)而(?)言(Yan),(?)无(Wu)线(Xian)接(Jie)入(Ru)网(Wang)((?)RAN)(?)领(Ling)域(Yu)近(Jin)来(Lai)似(Si)乎(Hu)是(Shi)半(Ban)导(Dao)体(Ti)市(Shi)场(Chang)中(Zhong)尤(You)为(Wei)黯(An)淡(Dan)的(De)角(Jiao)落(Luo)。(?)去(Qu)年(Nian)年(Nian)底(Di)的(De)一(Yi)次(Ci)电(Dian)话(Hua)会(Hui)议(Yi)上(Shang),(?)ADI首(Shou)席(Xi)执(Zhi)行(Xing)官(Guan)Vincent
Roche的(De)发(Fa)言(Yan)精(Jing)准(Zhun)概(Gai)括(Kuo)了(Liao)行(Xing)业(Ye)现(Xian)状(Zhuang):(?)“(?)我(Wo)们(Men)在(Zai)无(Wu)线(Xian)领(Ling)域(Yu)未(Wei)见(Jian)起(Qi)色(Se),(?)2024年(Nian)可(Ke)能(Neng)是(Shi)该(Gai)业(Ye)务(Wu)的(De)低(Di)谷(Gu)期(Qi),(?)未(Wei)来(Lai)将(Jiang)取(Qu)决(Jue)于(Yu)运(Yun)营(Ying)商(Shang)对(Dui)5G的(De)资(Zi)本(Ben)支(Zhi)出(Chu)。(?)”(?)
总(Zong)部(Bu)位(Wei)于(Yu)马(Ma)萨(Sa)诸(Zhu)塞(Sai)州(Zhou)的(De)ADI是(Shi)无(Wu)线(Xian)网(Wang)络(Luo)设(She)备(Bei)芯(Xin)片(Pian)供(Gong)应(Ying)商(Shang)之(Zhi)一(Yi)。(?)RAN芯(Xin)片(Pian)的(De)讨(Tao)论(Lun)通(Tong)常(Chang)集(Ji)中(Zhong)在(Zai)计(Ji)算(Suan)或(Huo)基(Ji)带(Dai)领(Ling)域(Yu),(?)传(Chuan)统(Tong)上(Shang)由(You)爱(Ai)立(Li)信(Xin)、(?)华(Hua)为(Wei)等(Deng)厂(Chang)商(Shang)设(She)计(Ji)的(De)专(Zhuan)用(Yong)集(Ji)成(Cheng)电(Dian)路(Lu)((?)ASIC)(?)主(Zhu)导(Dao)。(?)随(Sui)着(Zhuo)虚(Xu)拟(Ni)化(Hua)技(Ji)术(Shu)逐(Zhu)步(Bu)渗(Shen)透(Tou)RAN,(?)这(Zhe)些(Xie)ASIC正(Zheng)被(Bei)英(Ying)伟(Wei)达(Da)、(?)英(Ying)特(Te)尔(?)等(Deng)巨(Ju)头(Tou)的(De)通(Tong)用(Yong)芯(Xin)片(Pian)替(Ti)代(Dai)。(?)但(Dan)ADI的(De)专(Zhuan)长(Chang)在(Zai)于(Yu)射(She)频(Pin)芯(Xin)片(Pian),(?)为(Wei)实(Shi)际(Ji)无(Wu)线(Xian)电(Dian)单(Dan)元(Yuan)提(Ti)供(Gong)半(Ban)导(Dao)体(Ti)解(Jie)决(Jue)方(Fang)案(An)。(?)
在(Zai)尖(Jian)端(Duan)5G网(Wang)络(Luo)中(Zhong),(?)射(She)频(Pin)单(Dan)元(Yuan)集(Ji)成(Cheng)了(Liao)多(Duo)种(Zhong)芯(Xin)片(Pian):(?)收(Shou)发(Fa)器(Qi)、(?)模(Mo)数(Shu)转(Zhuan)换(Huan)器(Qi)、(?)数(Shu)字(Zi)前(Qian)端(Duan)((?)DFE)(?)处(Chu)理(Li)器(Qi)以(Yi)及(Ji)波(Bo)束(Shu)成(Cheng)形(Xing)芯(Xin)片(Pian)。(?)此(Ci)外(Wai)还(Huan)有(You)用(Yong)于(Yu)信(Xin)号(Hao)放(Fang)大(Da)的(De)功(Gong)率(Lu)放(Fang)大(Da)器(Qi),(?)部(Bu)分(Fen)功(Gong)能(Neng)可(Ke)能(Neng)被(Bei)整(Zheng)合(He)至(Zhi)同(Tong)一(Yi)集(Ji)成(Cheng)电(Dian)路(Lu)。(?)ADI的(De)产(Chan)品(Pin)包(Bao)括(Kuo)爱(Ai)立(Li)信(Xin)、(?)三(San)星(Xing)等(Deng)设(She)备(Bei)商(Shang)采(Cai)用(Yong)的(De)收(Shou)发(Fa)器(Qi)和(He)数(Shu)据(Ju)转(Zhuan)换(Huan)器(Qi),(?)但(Dan)这(Zhe)一(Yi)业(Ye)务(Wu)正(Zheng)在(Zai)萎(Wei)缩(Suo)。(?)
收(Shou)入(Ru)锐(Rui)减(Jian)
ADI“(?)通(Tong)信(Xin)市(Shi)场(Chang)”(?)((?)涵(Han)盖(Gai)无(Wu)线(Xian)业(Ye)务(Wu))(?)收(Shou)入(Ru)去(Qu)年(Nian)暴(Bao)跌(Die)三(San)分(Fen)之(Zhi)一(Yi)至(Zhi)10.8亿(Yi)美(Mei)元(Yuan),(?)较(Jiao)2022财(Cai)年(Nian)的(De)19亿(Yi)美(Mei)元(Yuan)大(Da)幅(Fu)下(Xia)滑(Hua),(?)占(Zhan)公(Gong)司(Si)总(Zong)营(Ying)收(Shou)比(Bi)例(Li)从(Cong)15%降(Jiang)至(Zhi)11%。(?)这(Zhe)一(Yi)颓(Tui)势(Shi)反(Fan)映(Ying)了(Liao)电(Dian)信(Xin)运(Yun)营(Ying)商(Shang)对(Dui)5G投(Tou)资(Zi)的(De)疲(Pi)软(Ruan)。(?)研(Yan)究(Jiu)机(Ji)构(Gou)Omdia数(Shu)据(Ju)显(Xian)示(Shi),(?)2023年(Nian)RAN市(Shi)场(Chang)规(Gui)模(Mo)从(Cong)2022年(Nian)的(De)450亿(Yi)美(Mei)元(Yuan)缩(Suo)水(Shui)至(Zhi)350亿(Yi)美(Mei)元(Yuan),(?)导(Dao)致(Zhi)爱(Ai)立(Li)信(Xin)、(?)诺(Nuo)基(Ji)亚(Ya)和(He)三(San)星(Xing)纷(Fen)纷(Fen)裁(Cai)员(Yuan)重(Zhong)组(Zu)。(?)
ADI的(De)困(Kun)境(Jing)不(Bu)仅(Jin)限(Xian)于(Yu)通(Tong)信(Xin)领(Ling)域(Yu)。(?)2024年(Nian)公(Gong)司(Si)总(Zong)营(Ying)收(Shou)下(Xia)降(Jiang)23%至(Zhi)94亿(Yi)美(Mei)元(Yuan),(?)净(Jing)利(Li)润(Run)腰(Yao)斩(Zhan)至(Zhi)16亿(Yi)美(Mei)元(Yuan)。(?)尽(Jin)管(Guan)Omdia预(Yu)测(Ce)RAN市(Shi)场(Chang)已(Yi)触(Chu)底(Di),(?)但(Dan)ADI首(Shou)席(Xi)财(Cai)务(Wu)官(Guan)Richard
Puccio在(Zai)季(Ji)度(Du)财(Cai)报(Bao)会(Hui)上(Shang)坦(Tan)言(Yan):(?)“(?)无(Wu)线(Xian)业(Ye)务(Wu)需(Xu)求(Qiu)仍(Reng)面(Mian)临(Lin)挑(Tiao)战(Zhan)。(?)”(?)其(Qi)通(Tong)信(Xin)市(Shi)场(Chang)收(Shou)入(Ru)同(Tong)比(Bi)再(Zai)降(Jiang)4%,(?)至(Zhi)2.9亿(Yi)美(Mei)元(Yuan)。(?)
竞(Jing)争(Zheng)对(Dui)手(Shou)德(De)州(Zhou)仪(Yi)器(Qi)同(Tong)样(Yang)举(Ju)步(Bu)维(Wei)艰(Jian)。(?)过(Guo)去(Qu)两(Liang)年(Nian)其(Qi)年(Nian)销(Xiao)售(Shou)额(E)减(Jian)少(Shao)44亿(Yi)美(Mei)元(Yuan)((?)降(Jiang)幅(Fu)22%)(?),(?)2024年(Nian)通(Tong)信(Xin)设(She)备(Bei)收(Shou)入(Ru)仅(Jin)占(Zhan)总(Zong)营(Ying)收(Shou)的(De)4%((?)6.25亿(Yi)美(Mei)元(Yuan))(?),(?)较(Jiao)2022年(Nian)的(De)14亿(Yi)美(Mei)元(Yuan)((?)占(Zhan)比(Bi)7%)(?)急(Ji)剧(Ju)下(Xia)滑(Hua)。(?)CEO
Haviv Ilan虽(Sui)表(Biao)示(Shi)“(?)通(Tong)信(Xin)业(Ye)务(Wu)或(Huo)已(Yi)见(Jian)底(Di)”(?),(?)但(Dan)Omdia认(Ren)为(Wei)短(Duan)期(Qi)内(Nei)难(Nan)有(You)起(Qi)色(Se)。(?)
少(Shao)数(Shu)逆(Ni)势(Shi)者(Zhe)
并(Bing)非(Fei)所(Suo)有(You)企(Qi)业(Ye)都(Du)如(Ru)ADI和(He)TI般(Ban)惨(Can)淡(Dan)。(?)受(Shou)益(Yi)于(Yu)AI数(Shu)据(Ju)中(Zhong)心(Xin)芯(Xin)片(Pian)需(Xu)求(Qiu),(?)博(Bo)通(Tong)2024财(Cai)年(Nian)营(Ying)收(Shou)增(Zeng)长(Chang)44%至(Zhi)516亿(Yi)美(Mei)元(Yuan)。(?)其(Qi)最(Zui)大(Da)5G客(Ke)户(Hu)诺(Nuo)基(Ji)亚(Ya)在(Zai)射(She)频(Pin)单(Dan)元(Yuan)中(Zhong)采(Cai)用(Yong)博(Bo)通(Tong)的(De)DFE芯(Xin)片(Pian),(?)但(Dan)博(Bo)通(Tong)未(Wei)在(Zai)财(Cai)报(Bao)中(Zhong)披(Pi)露(Lu)细(Xi)分(Fen)数(Shu)据(Ju)。(?)
值(Zhi)得(De)注(Zhu)意(Yi)的(De)是(Shi),(?)诺(Nuo)基(Ji)亚(Ya)移(Yi)动(Dong)网(Wang)络(Luo)业(Ye)务(Wu)因(Yin)失(Shi)去(Qu)AT&T大(Da)单(Dan)导(Dao)致(Zhi)2024年(Nian)收(Shou)入(Ru)骤(Zhou)降(Jiang)21%至(Zhi)77亿(Yi)美(Mei)元(Yuan)。(?)由(You)于(Yu)AT&T转(Zhuan)用(Yong)爱(Ai)立(Li)信(Xin)设(She)备(Bei)((?)未(Wei)采(Cai)用(Yong)博(Bo)通(Tong)RAN芯(Xin)片(Pian))(?),(?)博(Bo)通(Tong)作(Zuo)为(Wei)射(She)频(Pin)芯(Xin)片(Pian)供(Gong)应(Ying)商(Shang)难(Nan)免(Mian)受(Shou)到(Dao)波(Bo)及(Ji)。(?)
研(Yan)发(Fa)投(Tou)入(Ru)缩(Suo)减(Jian)
市(Shi)场(Chang)萎(Wei)缩(Suo)使(Shi)RAN领(Ling)域(Yu)对(Dui)ADI、(?)博(Bo)通(Tong)和(He)TI的(De)吸(Xi)引(Yin)力(Li)大(Da)减(Jian)。(?)这(Zhe)些(Xie)企(Qi)业(Ye)在(Zai)该(Gai)市(Shi)场(Chang)的(De)收(Shou)入(Ru)占(Zhan)比(Bi)持(Chi)续(Xu)降(Jiang)低(Di),(?)削(Xiao)弱(Ruo)了(Liao)其(Qi)对(Dui)下(Xia)一(Yi)代(Dai)RAN芯(Xin)片(Pian)研(Yan)发(Fa)的(De)投(Tou)入(Ru)意(Yi)愿(Yuan)。(?)ADI的(De)年(Nian)度(Du)研(Yan)发(Fa)预(Yu)算(Suan)近(Jin)两(Liang)年(Nian)已(Yi)缩(Suo)减(Jian)13%,(?)2024年(Nian)不(Bu)足(Zu)15亿(Yi)美(Mei)元(Yuan)。(?)
一(Yi)位(Wei)匿(Ni)名(Ming)芯(Xin)片(Pian)公(Gong)司(Si)高(Gao)管(Guan)透(Tou)露(Lu):(?)“(?)设(She)备(Bei)商(Shang)需(Xu)要(Yao)新(Xin)一(Yi)代(Dai)芯(Xin)片(Pian),(?)但(Dan)收(Shou)发(Fa)器(Qi)供(Gong)应(Ying)商(Shang)已(Yi)无(Wu)积(Ji)极(Ji)性(Xing)。(?)”(?)这(Zhe)种(Zhong)供(Gong)需(Xu)失(Shi)衡(Heng)可(Ke)能(Neng)威(Wei)胁(Xie)未(Wei)来(Lai)供(Gong)应(Ying)链(Lian)安(An)全(Quan)。(?)
单(Dan)一(Yi)供(Gong)应(Ying)风(Feng)险(Xian)
目(Mu)前(Qian)主(Zhu)流(Liu)RAN设(She)备(Bei)商(Shang)屈(Qu)指(Zhi)可(Ke)数(Shu)。(?)华(Hua)为(Wei)在(Zai)欧(Ou)美(Mei)市(Shi)场(Chang)受(Shou)挫(Cuo),(?)中(Zhong)兴(Xing)通(Tong)讯(Xun)同(Tong)样(Yang)面(Mian)临(Lin)限(Xian)制(Zhi);(?)美(Mei)国(Guo)厂(Chang)商(Shang)Mavenir的(De)困(Kun)境(Jing)证(Zheng)明(Ming)Open
RAN运(Yun)动(Dong)未(Wei)能(Neng)培(Pei)育(Yu)有(You)效(Xiao)竞(Jing)争(Zheng)。(?)高(Gao)通(Tong)是(Shi)少(Shao)数(Shu)亮(Liang)点(Dian),(?)这(Zhe)家(Jia)年(Nian)营(Ying)收(Shou)390亿(Yi)美(Mei)元(Yuan)的(De)智(Zhi)能(Neng)手(Shou)机(Ji)芯(Xin)片(Pian)巨(Ju)头(Tou)正(Zheng)开(Kai)发(Fa)5G射(She)频(Pin)所(Suo)需(Xu)的(De)收(Shou)发(Fa)器(Qi)、(?)DFE及(Ji)波(Bo)束(Shu)成(Cheng)形(Xing)芯(Xin)片(Pian)。(?)
爱(Ai)立(Li)信(Xin)在(Zai)营(Ying)收(Shou)压(Ya)力(Li)下(Xia)仍(Reng)坚(Jian)持(Chi)增(Zeng)加(Jia)研(Yan)发(Fa)投(Tou)入(Ru),(?)2024年(Nian)研(Yan)发(Fa)支(Zhi)出(Chu)达(Da)565亿(Yi)瑞(Rui)典(Dian)克(Ke)朗(Lang)((?)56亿(Yi)美(Mei)元(Yuan))(?),(?)其(Qi)内(Nei)部(Bu)芯(Xin)片(Pian)部(Bu)门(Men)Ericsson
Silicon将(Jiang)ASIC列(Lie)为(Wei)核(He)心(Xin)领(Ling)域(Yu)。(?)但(Dan)年(Nian)报(Bao)也(Ye)警(Jing)示(Shi)了(Liao)对(Dui)少(Shao)数(Shu)供(Gong)应(Ying)商(Shang)的(De)依(Yi)赖(Lai)风(Feng)险(Xian):(?)“(?)关(Guan)键(Jian)ASIC和(He)FPGA组(Zu)件(Jian)依(Yi)赖(Lai)单(Dan)一(Yi)或(Huo)极(Ji)少(Shao)数(Shu)供(Gong)应(Ying)商(Shang),(?)若(Ruo)供(Gong)应(Ying)链(Lian)受(Shou)宏(Hong)观(Guan)经(Jing)济(Ji)冲(Chong)击(Ji),(?)可(Ke)能(Neng)影(Ying)响(Xiang)产(Chan)品(Pin)生(Sheng)产(Chan)。(?)”(?)
分(Fen)析(Xi)师(Shi)Earl
Lum指(Zhi)出(Chu),(?)爱(Ai)立(Li)信(Xin)在(Zai)MWC展(Zhan)会(Hui)上(Shang)疑(Yi)似(Si)推(Tui)出(Chu)集(Ji)成(Cheng)数(Shu)据(Ju)转(Zhuan)换(Huan)功(Gong)能(Neng)的(De)3纳(Na)米(Mi)DFE芯(Xin)片(Pian),(?)类(Lei)似(Si)AMD的(De)射(She)频(Pin)系(Xi)统(Tong)级(Ji)芯(Xin)片(Pian)((?)RFSoC)(?)。(?)若(Ruo)属(Shu)实(Shi),(?)ADI或(Huo)面(Mian)临(Lin)重(Zhong)大(Da)威(Wei)胁(Xie)。(?)爱(Ai)立(Li)信(Xin)对(Dui)此(Ci)回(Hui)应(Ying)称(Cheng):(?)“(?)Ericsson
Silicon是(Shi)提(Ti)升(Sheng)网(Wang)络(Luo)性(Xing)能(Neng)与(Yu)可(Ke)持(Chi)续(Xu)性(Xing)的(De)关(Guan)键(Jian),(?)同(Tong)时(Shi)我(Wo)们(Men)仍(Reng)与(Yu)半(Ban)导(Dao)体(Ti)生(Sheng)态(Tai)保(Bao)持(Chi)合(He)作(Zuo)。(?)”(?)
关(Guan)税(Shui)阴(Yin)影(Ying)
美(Mei)国(Guo)对(Dui)华(Hua)加(Jia)征(Zheng)的(De)关(Guan)税(Shui)政(Zheng)策(Ce)加(Jia)剧(Ju)了(Liao)行(Xing)业(Ye)焦(Jiao)虑(Lu)。(?)尽(Jin)管(Guan)Verizon CEO Hans
Vestberg淡(Dan)化(Hua)关(Guan)税(Shui)对(Dui)光(Guang)纤(Xian)投(Tou)资(Zi)的(De)影(Ying)响(Xiang),(?)但(Dan)他(Ta)承(Cheng)认(Ren)无(Wu)线(Xian)设(She)备(Bei)“(?)依(Yi)赖(Lai)进(Jin)口(Kou)”(?)。(?)Verizon的(De)RAN供(Gong)应(Ying)商(Shang)正(Zheng)是(Shi)爱(Ai)立(Li)信(Xin)和(He)三(San)星(Xing)。(?)
在(Zai)RAN计(Ji)算(Suan)侧(Ce),(?)销(Xiao)量(Liang)下(Xia)滑(Hua)促(Cu)使(Shi)业(Ye)界(Jie)关(Guan)注(Zhu)虚(Xu)拟(Ni)化(Hua)技(Ji)术(Shu)。(?)若(Ruo)通(Tong)用(Yong)芯(Xin)片(Pian)能(Neng)替(Ti)代(Dai)专(Zhuan)用(Yong)RAN芯(Xin)片(Pian),(?)运(Yun)营(Ying)商(Shang)将(Jiang)减(Jian)少(Shao)对(Dui)特(Te)定(Ding)供(Gong)应(Ying)商(Shang)的(De)依(Yi)赖(Lai)。(?)有(You)业(Ye)内(Nei)人(Ren)士(Shi)认(Ren)为(Wei),(?)射(She)频(Pin)芯(Xin)片(Pian)技(Ji)术(Shu)或(Huo)可(Ke)借(Jie)鉴(Jian)其(Qi)他(Ta)领(Ling)域(Yu)的(De)模(Mo)拟(Ni)芯(Xin)片(Pian)进(Jin)展(Zhan),(?)但(Dan)行(Xing)业(Ye)更(Geng)期(Qi)待(Dai)5G市(Shi)场(Chang)整(Zheng)体(Ti)复(Fu)苏(Su)。(?)
作(Zuo)者(Zhe):(?)Iain Morris,(?)Light Reading国(Guo)际(Ji)版(Ban)编(Bian)辑(Ji)
原(Yuan)文(Wen):(?)https://www.lightreading.com/5g/tumbling-sales-of-5g-radio-chips-stoke-fear-for-industry-s-future